Exactly half of the ten shortlisted films will earn nominations. The Whale feels like a safe bet even if that’s not the case in other races, and both Elvis and Babylon are likely too. Blonde is more of a question mark because few seem to like the film, but star Ana de Armas is performing much better than expected on the awards circuit, so maybe the film will show up here. Both The Batman and Amsterdam did well with the Make-Up Artists & Hair Stylists Guild. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever is on the shortlist, but so was the first film, which didn’t result in a nomination. All Quiet on the Western Front didn’t earn any MUAHS nods but did appear on multiple shortlists, so it could easily earn a spot, though war films are rare in this category. The last two shortlisted films, which weren’t mentioned by MUAHS, are total wild cards: Emancipation and Crimes of the Future.

Predictions: All Quiet on the Western Front, Babylon, Blonde, Elvis, The Whale