Golden Globe Winner Predictions – Television Categories

The Golden Globes are back this year with a televised ceremony and a mid-year check-in on the best in television. Certain series like Abbott Elementary will compete for the first time, with last year’s big winner, Succession, out of the running this time. Globe voters tend to prefer new series, which could lead to enthusiasm for a handful of first-time nominees.

AMC

Best Actor in a TV Series – Drama

Jeff Bridges (The Old Man)

Kevin Costner (Yellowstone)

Diego Luna (Andor)

Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul)

Adam Scott (Severance)

This category features performers from three popular shows that didn’t earn corresponding nominations in the top category, plus the star of one nominated new series in the mix: Scott. Only Odenkirk is a returning nominee, though, interestingly, this is his fifth nomination but his show’s first time being up for Best TV Series – Drama. While Jon Hamm did win a farewell prize for the last season of Mad Men, a late win like that is rare for Globe voters, which suggests that Scott might have the upper hand.

Should win: Odenkirk

Will win: Scott

Spoiler: Odenkirk

Best Actress in a TV Series – Drama

Emma D’Arcy (House of the Dragon)

Laura Linney (Ozark)

Imelda Staunton (The Crown)

Hilary Swank (Alaska Daily)

Zendaya (Euphoria)

This is Linney’s second (and final) nomination for her show, and she has previous wins for John Adams and The Big C. Swank has won two Globes, for her film performances in Boys Don’t Cry and Million Dollar Baby. Even though she has two Emmys, this is Zendaya’s first nomination here. Staunton has inherited a good track record with her show winning three out of four times in this category, for Claire Foy, Olivia Colman, and Emma Corrin.

Should win: Zendaya

Will win: Zendaya

Spoiler: Staunton

Best Actor in a TV Series – Comedy/Musical

Donald Glover (Atlanta)

Bill Hader (Barry)

Steve Martin (Only Murders in the Building)

Martin Short (Only Murders in the Building)

Jeremy Allen White (The Bear)

This category welcomes back two men who haven’t been nominated in several years during the long hiatus following their second seasons, Glover, a winner in 2016, and Hader. Martin and Short are both back from last year, while the very talented White is a brand-new addition to this category. Vote-splitting and energy for his new show, not to mention the absence of two-time winner Jason Sudeikis, might well propel White to a win.

Should win: Hader

Will win: White

Spoiler: Short

ABC

Best Actress in a TV Series – Comedy/Musical

Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary)

Kaley Cuoco (The Flight Attendant)

Selena Gomez (Only Murders in the Building)

Jenna Ortega (Wednesday)

Jean Smart (Hacks)

I’m delighted to see Cuoco back after a nomination for her show’s first season given how little fanfare the very worthwhile second season has attracted. She joins last year’s winner Smart, who beat out Cuoco and Brunson at the Emmys this past year. This is an extremely competitive category to be sure, with Gomez earning her first nomination for an acclaimed show and Ortega in the running for a fresh and beloved new series. But Smart is still in the mix, so don’t count her out either.

Should win: Brunson

Will win: Brunson

Spoiler: Ortega

Best Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Taron Egerton (Black Bird)

Colin Firth (The Staircase)

Andrew Garfield (Under the Banner of Heaven)

Evan Peters (Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story)

Sebastian Stan (Pam and Tommy)

Garfield won a Globe last year for tick, tick…BOOM! and Egerton won three years ago for Rocketman. Firth won for The King’s Speech a decade ago. All but Garfield portray a real person, and Garfield and Firth are the only ones without their limited series nominated in the top category.

Should win: Garfield

Will win: Peters

Spoiler: Egerton

Best Actress in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Jessica Chastain (George and Tammy)

Julia Garner (Inventing Anna)

Lily James (Pam and Tommy)

Julia Roberts (Gaslit)

Amanda Seyfried (The Dropout)

Chastain was nominated in this category last year for Scenes of a Marriage and previously won a Globe for Zero Dark Thirty. Garner is also nominated for Ozark this year. Only James and Seyfried, who took home the Emmy this fall, have their series nominated in the top category.

Should win: James

Will win: Seyfried

Spoiler: James

FX

Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy/Musical or Drama Television Series

John Lithgow (The Old Man)

Jonathan Pryce (The Crown)

John Turturro (Severance)

Tyler James Williams (Abbott Elementary)

Henry Winkler (Barry)

In the first year of this continuing series-only category, Pryce becomes only the second cast member of The Crown to be nominated after none other than Lithgow, who won this trophy on another bid back in 2009 for Dexter. Winkler returns for his third nomination following bids in 2018 and 2019 for the first two seasons of the show.

Should win: Turturro

Will win: Turturro

Spoiler: Winkler

Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy/Musical or Drama Television Series

Elizabeth Debicki (The Crown)

Hannah Einbinder (Hacks)

Julia Garner (Ozark)

Janelle James (Abbott Elementary)

Sheryl Lee Ralph (Abbott Elementary)

I’m happy to see Einbinder recognized for a terrific performance but disappointed that she’s been demoted to this category after Globe voters got it right and classified her a lead last year. Garner is also back with her second bid, and is a double nominee this year thanks to Inventing Anna. Debicki is the third actress nominated from her show, following Helena Bonham Carter’s two nominations and Gillian Anderson’s victory for season four.

Should win: Debicki

Will win: James

Spoiler: Ralph

Best Supporting Actor in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or a Motion Picture Made for Television

F. Murray Abraham (The White Lotus)

Domhnall Gleeson (The Patient)

Paul Walter Hauser (Black Bird)

Richard Jenkins (Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story)

Seth Rogen (Pam and Tommy)

This new limited series-only category (sure, TV movies are still in the name but are rarely recognized anymore) does at least feature honorees from five different projects. Abraham won for Amadeus way back in 1984, and Jenkins was nominated in 2017 for The Shape of Water. All but Gleeson have their series nominated in the top category.

Should win: Abraham

Will win: Hauser

Spoiler: Rogen

FX

Best Supporting Actress in a Limited Series, Anthology Series, or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Jennifer Coolidge (The White Lotus)

Claire Danes (Fleishman is in Trouble)

Daisy Edgar-Jones (Normal People)

Niecy Nash (Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story)

Aubrey Plaza (The White Lotus)

Coolidge is back after a nomination last year, ensuring this category does apply to anthology series. Danes has won for every project for which she’s previously been nominated – My So-Called Life, Temple Grandin, and Homeland – though she’s usually been accompanied by other bids for her series, which didn’t happen this time. Edgar-Jones was nominated for Normal People.

Should win: Plaza

Will win: Coolidge

Spoiler: Plaza

Best Limited Series, Anthology Series, or Motion Picture Made for Television

Black Bird

Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story

The Dropout

Pam and Tommy

The White Lotus

A crazy piece of trivia – despite twenty Emmy nominations and ten wins for season one, The White Lotus wasn’t even nominated in this category last year. Now, it has three acting nominations, tying Black Bird and Pam and Tommy. Both The Dropout and Pam and Tommy lost to The White Lotus at the Emmys. Voters will have a choice here of something very dark or something very satirical.

Should win: The White Lotus

Will win: The White Lotus

Spoiler: Dahmer

Best Drama Series

Better Call Saul

The Crown

House of the Dragon

Ozark

Severance

Two worthwhile pieces of trivia here: this is the first nomination in this category for Better Call Saul despite four previous mentions for star Bob Odenkirk, and even though House of the Dragon predecessor Game of Thrones was nominated five times in this category (and won four Emmys for Best Drama Series), it never won this prize. The Crown won for seasons one and four and has been nominated for every one of its seasons, while Ozark was only up previously for season three. New shows are often rewarded here, which may be helpful for Severance if it can topple House of the Dragon.

Should win: Severance

Will win: Severance

Spoiler: House of the Dragon

HBO Max

Best Comedy Series                                                                                                                                  

Abbott Elementary

The Bear

Hacks

Only Murders in the Building

Wednesday

Last year’s winner Hacks is back with its both of its stars in tow again, while another nominee from last year, Only Murders in the Building, now has all three of its performers nominated. Abbott Elementary burst out of the gate in a big way with four of its actors in contention, while The Bear and Wednesday both have just their main stars. New shows very often win this prize, and that makes me think Abbott is the one to beat.

Should win: Hacks

Will win: Abbott Elementary

Spoiler: Hacks

Check out our film predictions and let us know who you’re rooting for!

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s