The Costume Designers Guild hands out prizes in three sections – period, sci-fi/fantasy, and contemporary – and Oscar voters still sometimes choose another film or two to fill out this category, though that hasn’t been the case the past two years. A handful of CDG picks seem wholly unlikely to translate to Oscar love, like Don’t Worry Darling, Hocus Pocus 2, and Thor: Love and Thunder, while some of their contemporary entries, namely Nope, Tár, Top Gun: Maverick, and Women Talking, will face steep competition from visually showier fare. Avatar: The Way of Water, Babylon, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, and The Woman King feature some seriously good and flashy costumes, while Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris is a lower-key pick that will mean voters are really paying attention. Other entries from the BAFTA longlist are All Quiet on the Western Front, Amsterdam, The Banshees of Inisherin, Corsage, and Roald Dahl’s Matilda the Musical. Missing from both these groups is The Fabelmans, which will be a major player in other categories and may show up here too.

Predictions: Babylon, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Elvis, Everything Everywhere All at Once, The Woman King