There’s a clear frontrunner in this category: a Best Picture nominee with nine total bids and a BAFTA win for Best Film: All Quiet on the Western Front. Germany is among the most nominated countries in this category, with wins for Nowhere in Africa and The Lives of Others. Argentina, 1985 pulled off a surprise win at the Golden Globes. Argentina also has two wins, for The Official Story and The Secret in Their Eyes out of a total seven previous nominations. EO would be the second film to win from Poland, after Ida, and it’s the thirteenth honored from the country. Close would be the first to win from Belgium, which has seven previous nominations. The Quiet Girl is the first film ever nominated from Ireland. All five directors are first-time nominees.

Should win: All Quiet on the Western Front

Will win: All Quiet on the Western Front

Alternate: Argentina, 1985